The Telegraph: Jan. 1, 2015
"2015: The Year of Dollar Danger"
"Tightening by the US Federal Reserve will have turbo-charged effects on a global financial system addicted to zero rates and dollar liquidity."
"the BRICS and mini-BRICS...must do penance for $5.7 trillion in dollar debt"
"the Fed is on the [tightening] warpath, digesting figures showing US capacity use soaring to 80.1pc, and growth running at an 11-year high of 5pc in the third quarter."
"The Fed pivot comes as China’s Xi Jinping is trying to deflate his own country’s $25 trillion credit boom, early in his 10-year term and before it is too late. He does not need or want uber-growth."
Dollar Danger Visualized (U.S. Dollar Index Inverted)
"2015: The Year of Dollar Danger"
"Tightening by the US Federal Reserve will have turbo-charged effects on a global financial system addicted to zero rates and dollar liquidity."
"the BRICS and mini-BRICS...must do penance for $5.7 trillion in dollar debt"
"the Fed is on the [tightening] warpath, digesting figures showing US capacity use soaring to 80.1pc, and growth running at an 11-year high of 5pc in the third quarter."
"The Fed pivot comes as China’s Xi Jinping is trying to deflate his own country’s $25 trillion credit boom, early in his 10-year term and before it is too late. He does not need or want uber-growth."
Dollar Danger Visualized (U.S. Dollar Index Inverted)
As we learned the hard way in 1997 - a la Japan - when a major carry currency strengthens, the rest of the world implodes...
Commodities versus stocks:
Junk bonds versus stocks:
Canadian stocks third lower high:
NYSE One Month Breadth:
NYSE New Highs
Emerging Markets and oil
Eastern Europe
Treasury Yields versus U.S. stocks:
Treasury Bonds (Prices): I expect this trend to continue i.e. my bet against Prechter & Co...
Airlines: Up 60% in 8 weeks.
I don't expect this trend to continue i.e. my bet against the Idiocracy & Co...
I don't expect this trend to continue i.e. my bet against the Idiocracy & Co...
Global Macro:
Copper, Oil, Canadian dollar, Russian stocks, gold:
France CAC: third lower high, this cycle