Monday, September 10, 2018

Ten Years Later. Not This Again!!!




"A decade after the financial crisis, the casualties of the economic near-collapse are fading from memory..."

Below is my take on what is the same, worse, far worse:

First, then as now, stock buybacks were at the cycle peak, amid deteriorating market breadth:



Emerging Markets were in meltdown mode then as now, although my currency and credit charts don't go back that far:



Crackberry was the must own device back at the top in 2007.

Now of course it's Apple. Chinese manufacturers were going into meltdown mode then, as now:



The cyclical-heavy Dow outperformed the S&P 500 up until the beginning of 2008, and 2018. 

And then the Dow underperformed until September 2008:



Almost a year straight of short-covering in Retail stocks:



Global reflation trades were/are imploding:



Homebuilders of course getting annihilated



A bit too much speculation in junk stocks going on at the time:



Global Trade rolling over



Global Financials rolling over



Late cycle Ponzi reflation:



"A Flight to safety" into U.S. Financials predicated upon the belief that they are decoupled from the rest of the world, and otherwise net beneficiaries of "reflation":