Tuesday, March 13, 2018

Now For EVERYTHINGPlosion

During the 18TH anniversary week of the Y2K tech bubble implosion, it's apropos that everything RISK rolls over at the exact same time. There's no place for gamblers to hide ex-cash...

Any questions why tech lost its bid today?




The fact that cash is now yielding more than the S&P 500 for the first time in a decade, should have been their sign to exit the Ponzi trade:



But first, when Donny said last week that he was going to purge his cabinet in a controlled and reasonable manner - he meant one firing every three days. Expedited on social media:

"Congratulations, you're fired. On Twitter. Don't bother coming back to the office"


Back to the casino...

In looking at recent tech outperformance, I compared S&P volatility to Nasdaq volatility and found this pattern. Deja vu of the 2007 top, the S&P blew up first, and the Nasdaq outperformed, for a while longer, until it imploded as well:



Tech is rolling over as I write:



Six years without any real selling, means a lot of pent up risk.



Donny just pole axed semiconductors by killing the Broadcom/Qualcomm takeover. Bad market timing one might say...




Momentum gamblers are about to get stopped out. Again...




Oil is ready to take out the trendline



Homebuilders deja vu of 2015:




One thing gamblers should never want to see is Johnson & Johnson outperforming in a 3 wave correction...





Because that WAS the last place to hide...