Saturday, December 17, 2016

Forrest Trump: The Idiocracy's False Profit

The Messianic mega-buffoon performed his role flawlessly - conning stoned gamblers into the 1950s high beta cyclicals trade, where they'll be buried...

The cyclical/resource trade is a play on Emerging Markets which he just monkey hammered from a demand perspective. In other words, epic outflows from Emerging Markets flowed into resource cyclicals, whose marginal customer IS Emerging Markets. You can't make this shit up. This guy is a total fucking dunce, and the people who believe in him are somehow dumber...

Supply Side Fucktard-o-Nomics visualized...

Take capital away from the marginal customer to invest it in more supply...

Emerging Markets versus Energy stocks:




"But what about imagined realities?"

EM Currency and Oil




These are the stocks and sectors holding up the entire market, based upon 13-week price outperformance...

But first, the last time the "dash for trash" High Beta / Low Beta ratio peaked and rolled over, the market tanked...




This crash history can clearly be seen in steel stocks, a "leading" sector right now:





Oil exploration & production:




Oil services




Regional banks



Marine shipping



Mining



Coal




"Good news, we're going straight back to the 1950s, when everything was awesome"