Friday, November 4, 2016

Roman Circus 2016

If the people running this Roman circus had a brain between them they would want the other party to "win" and inherit the shit sandwich left behind by Obama. Herbert Hoover was a much maligned one-term President - just one more factoid the Idiocracy has clearly forgotten. FDR got full credit for the recovery since the Dow had already fallen by 90% from 1929 through 1932...

Picture Billary winning and this clusterfuck collapsing like a cheap tent while her and Obama are transitioning power. No zombie would see that coming...

'b' waves are phony rallies predicated upon collapsing fundamentals: As fake as the people who believe in them...




These things don't care who gets elected:


Global GDP/Trade rollover due to depleted stimulus
Oil implosion due to mega glut
Chinese uneasing due to dollar rally
Emerging Market rollover due to dollar and oil
High dividend yield implosion due to interest rate rise
Junk bond implosion due to oil
Deutsche Bank
Saudi insolvency due to mass corruption and low oil
Brexit risk
FANG stock implosion due to weak revenue guidance
The jobless consumer is tapped out

Let's take a look...

Global GDP/Trade rollover due to depleted stimulus
World ex-U.S. with Global GDP growth (red)



Oil implosion due to mega glut



Chinese uneasing due to dollar rally

The PBOC is supporting the Yuan by selling Treasury Bonds aka. Quantitative Uneasing. This has the side effect of monkey hammering global risk markets:



Emerging Market rollover due to dollar and oil



High dividend yield implosion due to interest rate rise



Junk bond implosion due to oil



Deutsche Bank



Saudi insolvency due to mass corruption and low oil



Brexit Risk
British pound and stocks both in dollars:



FANG stock implosion due to weak revenue guidance
Internet stocks with cash balances:



The jobless consumer is tapped out

Retail stocks got bludgeoned this week:



"It can't happen to me"

Of course not.