Google trends: "Job report":
The probability of a recession occuring within the next 12 months has never been higher during the current economic recovery. This is according to the economists at JPMorgan.
JPMorgan's proprietary model considers the levels of several economic indicators, including consumer sentiment, manufacturing sentiment, building permits, auto sales, and unemployment.
Monthly payroll change with stocks:
Recession stocks ("safe haven")
Banks with GDP
Car dealers
Shopping malls
New home sales with U.S. population (blue line):
Asset managers
Treasury bond spread
Inventories
Corporate profits
Full time jobs per capita
Capacity utilization rate of change
Output gap with 0%:
