Sunday, May 15, 2016

MAX RISK x MAX COMPLACENCY = MELTDOWN

Stoned gamblers didn't learn their lesson in August and January, so this should do the trick...

This all hinges on the "low" volatility binary explosion fund which rolled over this week from a fifth wave overthrow:




Gamblers are primed for the shitting of bricks:
Cash Balances (Rydex)



There's been a lot of talk recently about volatility positioning due to the record shares outstanding in the volatility ETFS (VXX, UVXY, TVIX etc.), however, no one knows if that is long or short.

This is the CBOE VIX put/call ratio (50 dma). Gamblers are currently shorting volatility because they didn't learn their lesson in August and January:

Leaning the wrong way visualized:



Why hedge?
Put option volume



Treasury yields aka. 'Conomy


JPY


Price / volume


Volatility



Breadth momentum


% of stocks above 50 dma


Money Flow


Growth / value ratio



Emerging Markets


Chinese Yuan


Chinese Stocks


World ex-U.S.


U.S. Deflation (TIP/Treasury ratio):