Wednesday, October 28, 2015

Walking Into A Buzz Saw: Extreme Risk. Extreme Complacency

Pavlovian gamblers have already been monkey hammered at 0%, but they want more pain please...



The investing cycle is ending amid negative returns, however, low volatility and low interest rates have forced gamblers to take extreme risks for ever-less reward. They have 0% incentive to go to cash...

Returns are already turning negative across all asset classes, but interest rates still at 0% means that it hasn't occurred to any of them that the cycle might actually be over:




Volatility (red) is just starting to rise:
Corporate profits (black)



But hedging is non-existent, even as returns go negative...

Index Put/Call ratio



"Double down. You got this, bitchez"