To best get a handle on this pseudo-economy, I went back to capacity utilization versus interest rates. As we see below, and as one would expect, interest rates always peak with capacity utilization (inflationary pressures):
Extreme deflation visualized aka. 35 years of trade deficits:
Black line is capacity utilization imported from FRED. Red line is 1 year treasury yields:
"Splat" visualized:
The Yuan devaluation just massively increased deflationary pressures aka. foreign competition, which is why they did it...
TIP:TENZ Deflation expectations with short-term interest rates:
"We're decoupled. From reality"