Tuesday, January 24, 2017

Global Warning Ignored

Just like global warming aka. climate change has been thoroughly ignored by the de facto Idiocracy, so too has the global warning been ignored via financial markets. Meaning that two problems will be solved at the same time. Make it three...

As the charts below will show, unlike 2008, this time Wall Street is historically long their Trumpian global exploitation fantasy aka. "America First"...




Emerging Markets



European stocks aka. IQ test for mega dunces...




$USD




The long Trumpflation trade

Record bets by proven serial idiots that the 30 year deflationary downtrend in U.S. treasury yields compliments of "free trade" will now magically reverse by Clownius fiat. Even as he monkey hammered EM currency lower thereby importing more deflation. 

Fittingly, they are the architect of their own demise, while being too fucking dumb to figure it all out...

10 year Treasury shorts:



A reflationary fantasy based upon a minor end of cycle "plink" in minimum wage

The irony can't be overlooked...

Wage CPI (red) with one year Treasuries. I mean "reflation", just like the last two cycles only much smaller. Unfortunately the zombies have the attention span of a coked up flea...




The long oil futures trade (red). The last time speculators were this net long (2014), oil collapsed...



"The US rig count has posted its largest increase since the beginning of the shale oil and gas boom"


The Average stock / S&P ratio:



The Nasdaq



The damage is done, just waiting for the Idiocracy to realize they got conned by the same serial psychopaths again...

S&P Earnings yield with global GDP growth (black line):



IPOs