Saturday, November 5, 2016

Social Mood Will Decide This Election (And Vice Versa)

The exact same "metric" that got Obama elected in 2008, now portends badly for the incumbent party:

The equity call/put ratio indicates that Social Mood is turning down...

Gambler risk appetite is waning... Ameritrade daily average client trades -7.2% year over year:

Jobless consumer sentiment is turning down hard:

Firearms background checks (12 month moving averaged, red) with Smith & Wesson:

Congress and the Fed withdraw stimulus at the end of each cycle...

"Because, it's called Democracy"

Recessions are the vertical gray lines:

This year the Dow votes early...