Friday, January 22, 2016

The Grapes of Wrath 2016

The Idiocracy is locked in a deflationary spiral with no clue what is creating it, much less how to fix it...

The short covering rallies in oil are growing ever shorter and the price declines ever steeper...

"Are we there yet?"




The article was all bullshit. What creates a sustainable bottom is a drop in oil inventories... 

U.S. crude oil storage (red line) with oil price (black):

I circled the 1998 bottom and the 2009 bottom. I drew a dotted line to the last major "rally" in crude aka. false dawn. And of course lower inventories require lower production...
https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/weekly/



It's a lesson in economics for an Idiocracy that believes that lower prices equals lower supply. Similar to the job market, when survival is at stake, people will work more hours, BECAUSE of lower wages. And oil producers will produce MORE oil at lower prices just to stave off bankruptcy. 

It's a lesson, they're never going to forget.

The Grapes of Wrath:
What every EconoDunce is going to learn the hard way...whoever will accept the lowest wage, gets the job:




*Free trade* is not free
The marginal productivity of labour is the MAXIMUM wage, not the lowest wage that will be paid. The de facto corporate outsourcing "strategy" is to capture the excess profit between productivity and wages, in the developed nations and the developing nations, while at the same time selling the final product at developed world prices. 



The output gap is all corporate profit, until mass bankruptcy takes place:



"They never saw it coming"
Speaking of mass bankruptcy...



"What a fantastic buying opportunity!!!"
Stocks and bonds...only one will be right in the end...