Monday, January 18, 2016

The Hardest Landing

Stocks have peaked before profits (Y2K). Stocks have peaked concurrent with profits (2007). But stocks have never peaked AFTER profits. Until now. Central Bank dopium kept gamblers in the casino too long...

"sumamabitch!!!"
GAAP Profits with S&P



Distribution
Institutions started selling when profits peaked
Up volume / total volume



The trend is down, because the cycle is over...
Corporate profits (quarterly) year over year change




The Dow's Q3 (Ending Sept. 30th) revenue declines (20/30 stocks):
http://us.spindices.com/indices/equity/sp-500