GAAP 'n Crap:
The last two recessions directly coincided with the decline in profits (red). Fed funds rate in (black)...
Fake recovery unwind:
The fake recovery caused the dollar to rally (red line), hammering Commodities and Emerging Markets. The Bank of Japan and ECB increased their stimulus programs in response, driving major carry trade inflows into U.S. "assets". Now all of that "hot money" has to go back to Europe and Asia without breaking the S&P futures...
$USD (Red line) with One year Treasuries
The fake recovery caused the dollar to rally (red line), hammering Commodities and Emerging Markets. The Bank of Japan and ECB increased their stimulus programs in response, driving major carry trade inflows into U.S. "assets". Now all of that "hot money" has to go back to Europe and Asia without breaking the S&P futures...
$USD (Red line) with One year Treasuries
"The Fed may not raise rates at all next year"