Sunday, August 16, 2015

Global Death Star Staggered: The Minsky Moment Is 10 Points Away

$200 trillion in global assets hangs on a .48% move in the S&P (i.e. below the 200 day moving average, blue line below)

The level for the last major sell-off is circled in blue from 2011

S&P with 200 Day Moving Average and % of Stocks Above 200 Day Moving Average


Close-up


Elliot Wave Count


Skynet pulling out all stops to stay above the 200 DMA (red line):




Distribution
Down Volume / Total Volume



A loss of sponsorship
Up volume / Total Volume




The VXO / VIX Options volatility ratio
VXO index tracks S&P 100 options, whereas VIX tracks S&P 500 Options
VXO is the grown-up version of the VIX i.e. it doesn't include Netflix and Biotech





ZH: Aug. 14, 2015
High Yield is Flashing Red
"Too many bonds chasing too little money"
Everything from oil investment to stock buybacks and Mergers/Aquisitions is dependent upon a stable high yield market. 




ZH: Aug. 14, 215
MalAsian Meltdown?

"With some Asian currencies already falling to levels last seen 17 years ago, some analysts fear that an Asian Currency Crisis 2.0 may be just around the corner.

That rather dire prediction may have been validated on Friday when Malaysia’s ringgit registered its largest one-day loss in almost two decades."

Hot money outflow visualized
Malaysian Stocks




DHL Risk. Overnight Delivery.

"It was a bad time to be a stoned fucking zombie"